Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TON11419 prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-18 2.134558 2.450439 2.799935 3.215805 3.697848 4.239808 4.896458
2025-05-25 1.590544 1.995148 2.486470 3.129198 3.951096 4.971252 6.340283
2025-06-01 1.347153 1.794238 2.372578 3.179963 4.285105 5.755050 7.875427
2025-06-08 1.186369 1.658788 2.302152 3.249479 4.621054 6.553294 9.514422
2025-06-15 1.047232 1.526045 2.207362 3.257532 4.853515 7.216946 11.035744
2025-06-22 0.916880 1.385101 2.077381 3.188201 4.950148 7.677487 12.297564
2025-06-29 0.817606 1.276121 1.978070 3.146484 5.073931 8.181661 13.681743
2025-07-06 0.729725 1.173242 1.874096 3.080478 5.143541 8.597425 14.963330
2025-07-13 0.700109 1.159284 1.908140 3.241098 5.604519 9.714092 17.606365
2025-07-20 0.644701 1.095935 1.852871 3.241321 5.784519 10.360722 19.483303
2025-07-27 0.612623 1.068447 1.854447 3.339389 6.147897 11.375535 22.190353
2025-08-03 0.570186 1.018073 1.810176 3.347893 6.343657 12.097782 24.420232
2025-08-10 0.524028 0.961360 1.757744 3.353302 6.570792 12.981791 27.279076
2025-08-17 0.469069 0.883385 1.659538 3.263006 6.607148 13.514560 29.546703
2025-08-24 0.438383 0.847515 1.636027 3.316069 6.941020 14.706431 33.478386
2025-08-31 0.413198 0.819210 1.623403 3.388751 7.325483 16.063728 38.045935
2025-09-07 0.384188 0.779715 1.583317 3.397170 7.568932 17.143214 42.151982
2025-09-14 0.350850 0.727481 1.510764 3.324682 7.617364 17.778923 45.268382
2025-09-21 0.323655 0.685222 1.454467 3.281067 7.726352 18.574350 48.954029
2025-09-28 0.297248 0.641810 1.390803 3.212063 7.763794 19.198819 52.301774
2025-10-05 0.291172 0.642667 1.425345 3.379987 8.413686 21.481636 60.763015
2025-10-12 0.273519 0.615388 1.392801 3.380220 8.634898 22.677198 66.318210
2025-10-19 0.264065 0.606038 1.400838 3.482760 9.140726 24.726189 74.891368